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Peruvian socialist presidential candidate Pedro Castillo and right-wing rival Keiko Fujimori are neck and neck just three weeks before the presidential runoff in the Andean nation, an Ipsos Peru voter simulation suggested on Sunday.
The poll, in which respondents fill out mock voter forms and place them in boxes to preserve their privacy, showed Castillo had 51.1% support, while Fujimori had 48.9%. The gap in the survey published in the newspaper El Comercio was within the 2.8-point margin of error.
Castillo, a newcomer to politics who has caused market jitters by pledging to rewrite Peru’s constitution and nationalize mineral resources, was until recently the clear front-runner to win the second round of the presidential election on June 6.
He has since sought to soften his stance to appeal more to the political center, but Fujimori, the daughter of imprisoned former President Alberto Fujimori, has steadily chipped away at his lead. She polls stronger in the cities, while he leads in the country’s interior, from where he hails.
Castillo said on Sunday he was unconcerned by the polling, telling a news conference: “I’m worried about the country. I’m worried about the health situation.”
Alfredo Torres, executive president of Ipsos Peru, told El Comercio there was still a long way to go in the campaign.
“You can’t call a trend at this stage,” he said. “What we can say is that there is no longer a favorite. Today there is a virtual tie.”
The poll of 1,202 people was conducted on Thursday and Friday. Ipsos also conducted a voter intention survey over the phone, which further indicated the gap between Castillo and Fujimori had narrowed to within a hair’s breadth.
Another poll released on Sunday by the Peruvian Studies Institute (IEP) for the newspaper La República showed that Castillo led Fujimori in voting intentions by 36.5% to 29.6%.
That survey was conducted by telephone from Thursday to Saturday, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.8 points.
Gov. Gavin Newsom’s budget plan would have California pay to send every 4-year-old to kindergarten, give broke college students a place to live, put more homeless people in hotel rooms, provide health insurance for older adults living in the country illegally, start a new polytechnic university, wipe out delinquent traffic tickets for poor people and give cash payments up to $1,100 to two-thirds of taxpaying adults.
The governor says it’s all possible because the nation’s most populous state and the world’s fifth-largest economy is sitting on a mountain of new cash – a $100 billion surplus fueled by surging tax revenue and federal coronavirus aid.
On Friday, Newsom detailed his ambitious $267.8 billion budget that would reverse nearly all of his proposed budget cuts and tax hikes from a year ago at the start of the pandemic — one in a series of unrelenting major crises he has faced since taking office in early 2019. His popularity fell amid wildfires, blackouts, soaring unemployment and billions of dollars in fraudulent unemployment benefits paid by the state.
Critics of his policies and handling of the coronavirus gained enough signatures to trigger a recall election expected this fall.
So on Friday, it seemed Newsom could not help but marvel at his good fortune when he said the state is set up for “not just a comeback, but an extraordinary decade, arguably century, ahead.”
“We are trying to do things this state has talked about but never been able to accomplish because we’ve never had the resources to do it,” Newsom said, adding: “This is not a budget that plays small ball.”
But it is a budget on the edge. Nearly all of the $100 billion in extra money is a one-time surplus, meaning it won’t be available next year. Newsom and the Legislature have already approved a massive tax cut for small businesses that will reduce revenues by more than $6 billion over the next five years.
In the years to come, budget officials predict the state’s revenue will grow slightly while its expenses keep increasing. For now, they say the two sides of the budget will balance and not cause a deficit. But that leaves no room for error in a time when the pandemic has made it impossible to predict the future.
It’s enough for Keely Martin Bosler, Newsom’s budget director, to remark on “how incredibly uncertain things continue to be.”
“We are still mindful that we’ve only added back about 44% of the jobs that were lost in that March and April period” of 2020 when the pandemic began and California issued the nation’s first statewide stay-at-home order, Bosler said. “There’s still a lot of work to do.”
Newsom had already announced most of his most attention-grabbing ideas, including giving tax rebates to two-thirds of the state’s adults while also pledging to pay off their unpaid rent and utility bills. But Friday’s announcement put an exclamation point on the scope of his plan, with virtually across-the-board increases in nearly all aspects of government.
Republicans said Newsom’s plan just shows California’s taxes are too high and makes grand promises to people the government won’t be able to keep. Scott Wilk, Republican leader of the state Senate, said Newsom “has been channeling Oprah all week — where every studio audience member gets a new car.”
“Unfortunately in about 18 months — when the money runs out — the car will be repossessed,” Wilk said.
For many Democrats, the budget is a progressive dream, with many lawmakers hailing it as historic. Most of the criticism from the left focused on pushing Newsom to do more.
While the governor agreed to give free health insurance to low-income, older adults living in the country illegally, Joaquin Arambula — a Democrat in the state Assembly and a medical doctor — said he was “deeply disappointed” Newsom did not do the same for low-income farm workers and other immigrants who “have kept our families fed and cared for during this horrible pandemic.”
“Frankly, it stuns me that they are being left behind — and yet are expected to keep doing their jobs, keep food on our tables, keep taking care of us in our homes, hospitals and schools, and keep our economy going,” he said.
Newsom’s announcement isn’t the final word on the budget. Now, he must negotiate with the Democrats who dominate the Legislature and sometimes wants to go further than Newsom is willing to go.
Assembly Speaker Anthony Rendon, a Democrat from Lakewood, said lawmakers will try to spend more money on child care and making college accessible and affordable. Toni Atkins, the leader of the Senate, said the state cannot merely focus on 2021.
“Last year showed us the power of our responsible budgeting habits. It’s critical that we embrace that lesson and ensure this opportunity will benefit Californians this year and for years to come,” she said.
Other challenges lie ahead. After a year of unprecedented unemployment, California has had to borrow billions of dollars from the federal government to continue paying unemployment benefits. The deficit in the state’s unemployment trust fund — which is funded by a tax on employers — will hit $24.3 billion by the end of this year.
President Joe Biden‘s solitary Cabinet decision who was repelled by Congress has found some work as a White House senior counselor.
Neera Tanden had been Biden’s pick to lead the Office of Management and Budget yet pulled out her selection in March after unmistakably she would not collect sufficient Republican help to be affirmed. A few GOP legislators protested her past tweeted reactions of her political opponents.
Tanden will currently be a senior counselor to Biden, the White House said Friday. She will dispatch a survey of the US Digital Service and start anticipating conceivable strategy changes that could result from the approaching Supreme Court choice on GOP legitimate difficulties to the Affordable Care Act. Tanden worked in previous President Barack Obama’s organization as the demonstration was planned and executed.
Tanden, a nearby partner of White House head of staff Ron Klain, will withdraw the research organization Center for American Progress. Its author, John Podesta, said that “Neera’s acumen, determination, and political canny will be a resource for the Biden organization.”